Get to know about all the !OMM Strategies now! Russell Capital Group
what's up it's B and I'm here to show
you how to use the omm and create some
trading strategies from
it so if you haven't already go read the
using om slideshow and watch the using
om video on the rcg YouTube
channel we're going to go over some
behaviors and then figure out trade
ideas from that so the first behavior in
the omm is the OM volume
Divergence um this is just indicating
directional bias for this session right
so we can have some trade ideas right we
have two main categories of counter
Trend and Trend following and so in this
case right upon the break of that volume
Divergence here we would to Trend follow
we would assume directional exposure and
then to uh play the counter Trend when
we see volume convergence here which
we'll talk about in a bit this is where
you would sort of front run a conver a
counter Trend right here as or to see
the volumes
collapse so we can either capture the
premium above the PML or the floor here
as well as just directional exposure via
a long or a call in this
case let's talk about volume convergence
so volume convergence is a potential
counter Trend trade or formation of a
new trend um in this case you can see
the side lines
converging uh forming bullish
convergence on our put side lines here
right and then subsequently we can see
converging back to attempt formation to
a bearish
reversal but you can see we fail right
we convert our callid lines briefly
diverge bearish then convert back to
bullish or converge back to
bullish we can see kind of the stage of
events here a formation of the initial
Divergence
right the beginnings of convergence here
and then the confirmation of
convergence here's another big trade
here's our PML zone or PML crossover
trade and so the PML is the peak
negative exposure and this is a very
sticky area for price and as price moves
above the peak negative exposure this
shifts the chain momentum bullish and
subsequently as we move below the peak
negative exposure the shift chain
momentum bearish so you can see crossing
over the PML here coincides with uh call
side hedging and then proceeds this
bullish Divergence that occurs as we
break PML Zone
here um breaking the PML Zone I like to
see it form uh pretty strong Trends
towards the ceiling or the floor in
whatever case
um especially alongside these volume
divergencies here it's pretty
strong positive exposure uh results when
market makers lose confidence in their
original positions and must start must
start to hedge with the
flow um of the market right and so what
what happens in these cases is the
acceleration of a positive feedback loop
and so as we approach theer floor we
have this let's call a cushion range on
SPX it can range from about 8 to 11
points on QQQ it's about 48 to 96 cents
right each stock has their own
individual cushion range from the sing
number before and so what we look for is
as we approach that cushion range we
want to see B price Bounce from there
right otherwise as if it breaks through
that and moves towards the actual
ceiling or floor value that's indicating
that we're approaching positive
exposure so so as we approach the
cushion range there's two possibilities
you have a your floor in this case
remains flat in the range and the
underlying Market bounces reverts from
it does not exceed the cushion zone or
we have positive exposure where price
breaks that cushion Zone breaks the
ceiling and then forces market makers to
begin hedging with the market and form
uh Trend development and so in these
cases we could can see Trend
continuation for a large part of this
session and often times we do not see a
meaningful reversion in these
cases um especially when we have om
profiles that look like this which I'll
go into in the next slide here but this
is a very good indicator that we are not
going to see any sort of meaningful
reversal after a positive exposure
event all right so here's ceiling and
floor conversion right this happens when
market makers are confid in their
positioning and price fails to break
their positive exposure boundaries and
so the ceiling and floor stay generally
flat within their range as price engages
the cushion
Zone what we look for in this case right
is the ceiling to remain flat in range
as price engages it we want to see some
sort of counter Trend convergence from
our om and volumes you can see here in
this case right we want to then see
ceiling possibly come down as we start
to peel away from the Cushing Zone that
will help Confluence
us um as that that om volume convergence
forms that will usually spark a move to
Target towards the PML we don't always
get there but that is an optimal Target
for these kinds of
plays um otherwise you can use your
fractal to just find kind of live setups
as they form and find reversion targets
but the PML reversion trade is a very
common trade I
see so how do we know that we've
invalidated a ceiling and floor
reversion right well this happens as we
were talking about before where the
ceiling and floor begin adjusting
outside of
range um upon contact with price because
market makers are hedging so in these
cases um if we the SE if we adjust the
ceiling out of Rage even if we don't
produce a massive positive exposure move
we still have a higher potential to pin
to the ceiling rather than produce
reversion and so it's really important
to figure out to kind of separate uh
circumstances that can produce reversion
versus ones that are more likely to
produce pin possible small little
reversion Subs but nothing significant
like we look for in these example models
right I like to look for a flat floor
and flat ceiling as in this case where
it's a really tight range here um
usually upon price contact with these
levels writers are quote unquote more
confident so price is more likely to
revert from those areas rather than
producing a positive exposure
move so how do we determine when pin
versus reversion occurs right we said
before a flatter ceiling in floor is a
higher confidence in the
boundary sealing and for maintaining
their contextual range without
adjustment this also increases the
confidence of our potential reversion
Trend potential reversion um our omm uh
forming a strong counter Trend
convergence move instead of we could
call it going flat or chopping up as you
can see in this little square here or
here or here um we also look for for the
ceiling and flooor to not widen or
compress synchronously as widening is
showing an increase in the potential
session volatility compressing is
showing a decrease in the potential
session
volatility and so how do we find common
pin conditions right well first off our
om profile is very easy to tell us when
you see your put side line here this is
puts above and puts below this red line
when you see this massive Divergence
form and you see all the other lines are
sort of almost
halfway like one half of the length of
this putside line you can see I drew
these two white boxes to show that kind
of measurement here this is a pretty
good indication of a pin setup right but
we would see in this case to transition
from a low probability potential for
reversion to a high probability
potential for reversion would be
something like this where you suddenly
see a strong uh counter Trend
convergence like we were talking about
earlier we want to see that hedging also
pick up right um same thing here for if
we're transitioning from bullish to
bearish right same idea
right and so common conditions where we
fail to find meaningful reversion are
when we lack those kind of strong
counter Transformations we go flat
right we ceiling are four WS right the
uh directional Point volume as we're
showing here massively out of balance
it's also a bad sign for any sort of
shot at reversion and so when we fail to
produce a meaningful shift in the
balance this purple arrow is kind of
Shifting or showing that idea when we
fail to produce that meaningful shift we
we have a very low probability of
producing a full transition to
version when we see compression in
tandem where ceiling and floor sort of
pinch towards the PML it's also not a
really great idea or great uh potential
for reversion to form rather it kind of
shows that volatility is compressive
right so we have a higher probability to
pin randomly between the PML Zone and
the ceiling or at the seil OR at the
floor so how do we determine congestion
balance ranges occur well kind of what
we were talking about in the last slide
this choppy om is a pretty good sign
here when you see this stuff form like a
wide chop right where it moves back and
forth pretty hard that usually uh
synchronizes with the formation of
balance range with your spot price here
same you can see the same idea this
purple box here balance range right same
idea this red box here balance range
same here balance range at the CE right
and so those those om markers are big
big red flag to look for
uh price congestion rather than Trend
development uh the contextual PML Zone
as we showed in earlier slide is also um
it's like molasses for Price It's hard
to break out of there and so a lot of
the time what we will see is Rage within
the pmo zone or continued rejection
maybe before we forming a
breakout um what we can also look for
are what what's called a tangled or
indiscriminate volume which an example
would be this the green and red lines
and this red box here right where
there's not really a clear Divergence
yes we know that it's tinted bullish
because of this callid line but the lack
of a clear Divergence in this case
usually results in the continuation of
balance range right and kind of also
what we were talking about earlier right
where you see significant ceiling uh or
floor compression in this case right
here this is also indicative of
compressing volatility especially to the
downside when we are already sort of
pressed up into the ceiling kind of
stalling out our upside range then you
see this massive move up in the floor is
just uh compressing the potential
downside volatility to the floor zone
right that we end up
targeting uh flat options volume in this
case here it's a little distorted but
flat options volume in this case also
tends to result in Balance range
sessions um either ranging in the pmo
zone or just random placement um in
other cases we can see it sort of we can
see Trend develop in these flat option
volume sessions but then it just takes a
very sharp V shaped reversal right from
that flat ceiling or flat floor like we
were talking about before
all right so now we've gone over some
behaviors right so what kind of
strategies can we take right we can take
we really have two types of strategy in
this case we have Trend following and
counter Trend front running right so
Trend following is just following a
breakout of any of our Trend based plays
like a PML Zone breakout in this case we
can use volume convergence or excuse me
volume Divergence in this case you have
a lot of opportunities right and so in
those cases you want to assume either
directional exposure or capture premium
in favor of redirection right same idea
for the counter Trend front running
where if you are betting on a potential
volume convergence here for say as we
approach ceiling how are we what are we
targeting on this on a potential
reversing the fractal will give you
intermediate levels between ceiling and
PML but if we are early enough in the
session this PML exist a prime target
here and so as we approach the ceiling
on days with low implied volatility or
relatively low implied volatility uh
this uh finding strikes in this area for
the your zero DTE plays that we like to
see in rcg uh could be very cheap and
rewarding here I've seen FMC days I've
seen 1 cent contracts go to
over um you know like a buck or right in
minutes um that's just that's a lucky
example but can be profitable in this
case right and so then balance range how
do we determine when volatility is
compressing right this is a really key
uh this is a really key point for a lot
of options Traders right as time for
most debit Traders is not on your side
right if you're trading spreads it's a
little different but in this case time
is not on our side and so we need to
determine when is the best time to be in
and out of the market when we see
formation of this P large PML Zone and
price stay within on flat options volume
it's usually a bad sign right until we
form some kind of breakout and you have
a put side Divergence right if we see a
transformation day and a flat options
volume day um as we approach the ceiling
of the floor you could potentially uh
capture the spread on that instance or
just take uh positioning for the
potential uh vshed reveral right in
another case I see this happen a lot
where price opens into its ceiling or
opens into its Flor right this actually
does count as a rejection of either side
and so in this case while we initially
see our bullish hedging uh wound up in
this case we then see everything sort of
start to stall out as we reject the
ceiling and then just sort of trend
towards the PML we can also this R
balance range we can test again right
all these behaviors are complex these
are just individual models that all come
together to create a single session of
price action right so now that we've
learned some omm strategy it's time to
go out there and do it for yourself find
some strategies uh find some more models
in this case right this covers most of
most of everything but there's always
some new stuff to it so thank you very
much and take care
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