Top Down Analysis Isn't Hard, It's Misunderstood
In trading, we all know the famous
saying that the trend is your friend.
And therefore, we spend all of our time
learning how to identify the trend,
identify the points of interest, and
identify confirmations to be trading
that trend. But when you start to do a
top- down analysis, you start to realize
finding a trend is not always so simple
because you can have the daily bullish,
4hour bearish, 30-inut bullish, M5
bearish, M1 bullish. When you have
different time frames and different
trends in place, it's hard to know what
is the trend and therefore hard to know
exactly how to trade that trend. And
therefore if you look at any market
you'll realize half the time you are
trending and the other half of the time
you are counter trending. You [music]
are going against the trend a
retracement or a pullback. So what I
want to share with you today is show you
how to effectively trade the other half
of the market conditions. That is when
the market is reversing retracing or
doing a counter trend position. And just
how we know highquality setups come from
trading the trend. The trend is your
friend. I'm going to show you exactly
how to trade highquality setups against
the trend, against the flow of the
markets with the same level of
precision, same level of win rates, and
same level of risk-to-reward. So, what
I'm going to do is share an exact
framework, a step-by-step checklist that
is going to apply to any market
condition, any time frame, and any asset
class. And in doing so, I'm going to
share with you the most recent price
action trade that I've taken that was
against the trend that I would still
consider an A+ setup. So before we jump
into the charts and show you the exact
trade, what I'm going to present to you
is a diagram so you can understand the
frameworks. First of all, we have a
scenario like this which is typically a
trend. In this case, it's bullish
denoted by the sequence of higher highs
and higher lows going in one direction.
But you'll start to realize when you
learn about top down analysis inside of
this bullish trend, you will have a
bearish sequence. So therefore, you'll
have multi-time frame analysis where it
depends on what time frame you look at
and it depends on how zoomed in or
zoomed out you are. you'll start to see
we are forming lower highs and lower
lows inside of a overall bullish trend
which gets very confusing when you do
five different time frames and you start
to see inside of here there is a bullish
sequence and then a bearish sequence and
it can get very misleading. So what
we're going to do is focus on two time
frames and within those two time frames
established trend and then show you how
to master the lower time frame
confirmations for counter trend reads.
So what I like to use for the overall
top part of the read in my top down
analysis is the 4hour or 1 hour package.
The reason I call it a package is
because they'll tell you very similar
pieces of information. So therefore, I
do a glance on the 4 hour or 1 hour time
frame. My personal preference is the 1
hour and I'm trying to establish new
territory to define my trend. How do I
define new territory? I just take two
lines and I just say where was the low
in the market and associated to that I
understand where is the high in the
market and then I have found myself a
trading range. Once I found that range
of course I can see it is going up.
Therefore this is a bullish trading
range and it just waits for one of my
dotted lines to be broken. If it breaks
lower obviously it's a bearish switch.
If it breaks the upper side then we know
it's a bullish switch. So I can see
exactly over here we have failed to
break the low. We have made a higher low
and we are now continuing to break the
previous ceiling to make a new high.
That's it. Very simple. I look at one
time frame and I look for new territory
defined by a previous ceiling or
previous floor getting broken. Hence
this was the cap in price. This is the
new territory part. When I've done that
then I can delete the rest and I don't
have any focus above here and I don't
have any focus below here. This becomes
my trading range on the 1 hour or 4 hour
package. And therefore, this becomes my
external range. So, I just mark these
three things out. The direction, the
high, and the low. By the way, as I walk
through this diagram, I'm doing it
together with you now to display my
thought processes, but I also have, as
you can see on screen, an episode
companion where I've taken all of the
information, not only of the top- down
analysis, not only of all of the
diagrams, but also of the entire
walkthrough of the trade step by step,
so that you can have the checklist, the
diagrams, the definitions, and the full
explanation. So, you don't always need
to refer back to the video. but rather
you have it downloaded and ready so
whenever you take your next position you
have the checklist in front of you with
everything that you need so that you can
take the trade most effectively that
will be in the link in the description
free as always. Okay, so next what I'm
going to do is jump down to a lower time
frame and I want to start to see how are
we retracing back because once I've
established this high, I don't know if
it's going to continue going higher. So
what I need to see is a very specific
signature and that's going to confirm to
me a pullback. So I'm going to zoom in
on my area and this is where I would
usually drop down a time frame. My next
package time frame is what I like to
call as home is the 30 or 15 minute time
frame because this is the best read for
your intraday or intraession analysis.
So what I want to understand is just the
last few days of price action and I
personally prefer the 15-minut time
frame. From this time frame I'm trying
to pick up one specific thing and that
is that we are not continuing the trend
as we have already seen it. Rather we
are starting to see the pullback. How do
you define this? Well for example if I
get one retracement lower for example I
get this. I get one little pullback
portion. I don't know if this is a
pullback or we're just going to continue
bullish because as you can imagine
leading up to this internally we had all
of this price action like such. So if we
are getting the internal price action
that we saw on the 4hour we are now
seeing it on M15 we'll see this internal
read. So a little pullback like this I
don't know if this is a pullback to go
lower or this is a pullback just to
continue higher as we have already been
doing. So, and it's not about a break of
structure because even a break of
structure, let's say price goes lower
like this, it can certainly continue
higher. Why? Because we'll just read
this as a very clear objective, which is
to grab liquidity, induce lower, use
that fuel to go higher. So, even just
breaking structure is not enough to
decide a pullback has begun. The way to
confidently know a pullback has begun is
by ignoring the internal structure on
the left. And you're looking for exactly
this, a retracement. But it's not about
that retracement. is the first part that
it fails to break the previous high,
this external high that we've
established. When you see it fails to
break the high, so it respects it and
comes lower and then most importantly
continues on to make a lower low. When I
see this exact signature, this is what I
focus on. I see failure to make a higher
high. So I mark that because this is now
lower. The previous high was up here. We
have now made a lower high. So now I've
seen a failure to make a higher high.
This establishes my external high. Now I
can now confidently say this is my
external high. Once I see the next step
which is this previous low where we had
a bit of a retracements first fails to
make a high and most importantly makes a
lower low. When I see these two things
this is when I know a complex pullback a
retracement has begun. So what seems
like counter trend now because the
market is bullish clearly as we've seen
I can now start to say confidently
because of these two legs that we are
now in the retracement section. So
therefore the protren scenario is
bullish as we confidently described. Now
we can start to say the pullback has
begun and the new trend, the counter
trend position is actually going to be
bearish and we're going to be bearish
until certain objectives which I'm going
to get into which means now the protrend
the better thing to be doing is actually
looking for sells. Even though we're in
a bullish market on the higher time
frame, it's preferred until we arrive to
the objectives. I'm going to show you
those objectives to know when exactly to
look for buys once again. So it's not
about the higher time frame is bullish,
therefore only look for buys. It's look
for buys when it's relevant and look for
sells when it's relevant. You need to
know what part of the market cycle
you're in to know what is the pro trend
and the advantageous thing to be doing.
So as you can sort of see this is very
checklist orientated. We use our 4hour
and 1 hour package. My personal
preference is the 1 hour to establish
higher time frame trend. How do we do
that? We just look for new territory as
we described. Once you've got that then
you mark out your external low, external
high. That's the next step. After that
step you go to the next time frame
package which is 30 to 15. My personal
preference being 15. Once you've
established that then you need to look
for this exact process. two legs of
bearish where you see the first pullback
makes a low then it fails to make a
higher high and goes on to make a lower
low. When I've established this then I
focus on this part only which is the
lower low portion. Then this is where my
focus is going to be where we've seen
the second leg of bearish after the
failure to make a higher high and we
break the previous low to make a lower
low. Now I've described a internal range
where this is the next step that you
need to follow where you have the
previous high in the market the external
high and then you had this current low
this retracement that was made and then
I need to wait for one of them to be
broken. If price broke higher like this
then we know very simply that we are
still bullish. We had a bullish run we
had a bit of a retracement and we broke
higher and then we know we are still in
a bullish market. So I know this
external high needs to be respected and
if that external high is respected and
we break lower instead. I'm going to do
it in a different color so you can
identify it. Then I need to wait for one
of these to be broken. When it is, we
can see it breaks lower like such. Then
I just mark my internal high being this
one and my internal low being down here
based on this red arrow. The second leg
bearish. So very simply, you wait for a
retracement. You wait for a failure to
make a high and then you wait for it to
make a relative lower low compared to
this one. Not a lower low down here.
This is an external low. I don't care
about that one. That's a full trend
shift on a higher time frame. I'm
looking for internal structure to be
broken, hence these dotted pink lines.
Then I can mark out very clearly this is
my internal range high. This one becomes
my internal low. And that's all I need
to focus on. Now I can now ignore all of
this price action over here. And I just
need to focus on what's happening inside
my internal range. But notice how all of
the work we've done so far is to achieve
two clear objectives. My external range,
which is from this low to this high
related to this time frame. So I'm going
to do this in green so you remember. And
then the next time frame we worked was
the M15 M30. And the objective of
everything we discussed now was to find
this internal range which is over here.
So I'm going to do this in pink so we
can remember it. From those two time
frames, we've achieved the external and
internal range. And that's job done. You
don't need to do a top- down analysis.
You just need to find these two specific
things. Now we know the protrend
scenario is to be looking for cells
because this cell is going to be taking
us to certain objectives before the
higher time frame trend continues. Let
me map this out for you so you can see.
So, as I'm walking through this setup,
you can see a counter trend scenario in
play. I'm showing you the frameworks,
the building blocks, the checklist, and
the reasoning to get into counter trend
scenarios. This is one type of trade.
And inside of my personal trading plan,
I have dozens of trade models. Protrend,
counter trend, different liquidity
types, different inducement types,
different trap types, different lower
time frame confirmation types. This is
why we have created WWA trading. It's
not a pre-recorded course. In fact, is
an entire ecosystem where we focus on
transformation, not just information.
What that means is we're going to be
doing one-on-one coaching, daily live
streams for London and New York. And we
have a full entire AI powered ecosystem,
which means custom platform, custom
journaling, custom AI coach, which means
Wakar in your pockets where it's
empowered by every single one of my
trades, every single VIP call I've done,
every question that I answered about
trading, empowered into one LLM. So, you
can speak to me 24/7, show me your
trades, and I can give you personalized
feedback. And apart from the Q&As and
the one-on-one coaching and the daily
live streams and a vibrant community
ahead is going to be a full six month
incubation. And the reason we give six
months is because this is the amount of
time we've seen where traders join us.
People just like you watching a video
just like this have gone on to reach
results as you can see on the screen
where it's millions of dollars in
funding and tens of thousands of dollars
in consistent payouts. This is what the
power of accountability and a community
around you is as opposed to a
pre-recorded course. Now, the problem is
we cannot accept thousands of people
because we do one-on-one coaching and
there's limited hours in the day, which
is why we do application only. So, if
you find the link in the description, I
encourage you to fill out the
application form in detail to see if we
are a right fit for each other and if
you will be invited to join our
ecosystem that is WWA trading. And even
if you don't get accepted, even if you
decide not to join us, my promise to you
is we're going to give you some
resources and goodies just for applying
so that we leave you better than we
found you. Okay, back into the video. So
we know we are in a bullish market on
the higher time frame on the 1 hour 4
hour. So I'm expecting eventually price
to break it and make a new higher high.
Continue the trend as it has been
bullish. Higher high, higher low, higher
high retrace down, make a new higher
high. So I'm expecting eventually the
external high to be broken. That's the
long-term objective. But the long-term
objective can take days, weeks, or even
months to happen. So I don't want to be
waiting around days, weeks, or months
for a prime opportunity. But I know for
the midterm it's going to be actually
going down following this current trend
that we have which is bearish which I'm
expecting a equivalent replication. So
therefore I can connect my midterm with
my long-term and trade the protrend on
both time horizons. So I know that the
midterm is going to be bearish. So I'm
going to be looking for sell
opportunities until I arrive somewhere
down here to the buy objectives and then
once I have the confirmation I'm going
to switch bias and look for buy
opportunities and then all those sell
opportunities become traps. So it works
both ways. All the buy opportunities
that we'll see over here will be traps
and all the sell opportunities we see
after this will also be traps. So we
need to be leaning into these and using
them as checkpoints which I'm going to
show you. And this is how I connect my
road maps. So let's build it out to be a
little bit more realistic. And we're
going to be seeing price action
internally on the bullish way up. Let's
say this is our 5minut time frame inside
of this 1 hour 4hour impulse which is
this light green line. So we can start
to see yes there is internal structure
and I'm going to mark out the swing
points the highs and the lows and I want
to focus on one very clear part which is
this this one right here. So notice
what's happened right here. I marked it
out in blue which was my internal
structure when it is inside of the range
and then when it broke out of the range
I did it in green. What does that mean?
Well we can remember our external high
previously was here. So this was our
previous external high and it got
broken. So where did it get broken from?
I want to focus on the area that led to
the break, which is price came here,
swept this low, and then pushed higher.
That moment where price pushed higher,
breaking the previous ceiling, breaking
the previous external high, and making a
new higher high, and then it continued
on until it established the ultimate
high. But I want to focus on this buy
portion over here. So, this buy portion
over here will be my decision. This is a
high quality point of interest where I'm
going to be looking for buys. So, that
is one objective. and then also the
origination point where the move began
all the way down here. This is where
everything started where my external low
is. This is also going to be a nice
objective. So I know these two
objectives, my decisional point of
interest and I also have my extreme
point of interest. So now I've
identified two prime areas that are
points of interest where I want to be
focusing on buy opportunities. But
notice a few other things where we have
all of these higher lows here. So we had
this area over here. Why am I focusing
on this area? Because technically it's a
higher high. higher low pushes to make a
new higher high internally. So, it
didn't break the external high. It broke
previous internal high, made a new
internal high, made a new internal high.
Okay, external high, internal high,
internal high. So, I want to be focusing
on all of these areas that made new
internal highs. And I'm going to be
doing these in purple boxes like so over
here. So, what does all of this mean?
Why do I have some blue boxes where I've
written decision or extreme? And why do
I have some purple boxes? Because they
all seem the same, right? Each one of
them led to a new internal higher high.
This one led to a higher high. This one
led to a higher high. This one led to a
higher high. So I'm looking at all the
portions where price went up and the
origination of it. I've made a box. I've
made a box. I've made a box. I've made a
box. And I've made a box. So we need to
differentiate and qualify the difference
between lowquality trap zones and
highquality points of interest. Even
though they may seem similar to the
untrained eye, the difference being the
relevance of what they are. This one is
relevant because it's where everything
began. It's the origination point.
Therefore, that is always going to be my
extreme. This is always good. The next
one is going to be my decisional point
of interest. This is the only area.
There's only one of them in a trend that
broke the previous external high. The
previous ceiling was broken by this
impulse over here. And therefore, that's
the decision point between price could
have gone bearish from here because we
were retracing bearish. It could have
kept going bearish and it decided, no,
we're not going to go bearish. We're
going to go bullish. So when we see that
flip that decision point that's our
decisional point of interest everything
else is going to be a trap. Now the
reason we can also qualify trap is how I
use premium and discount. You pull a
Fibonacci from the low to the high from
the low to the high and wherever the 50%
is anywhere above my 50% mark in this
red box is going to be my premium zone.
I'm too high up and therefore I want to
be selling high and buying low. So
therefore this qualifies to me for
another reason why these areas are traps
because these are demand areas. These
are zones that made highs, but they are
in my red box. This is lowquality zone,
so acts as a filter. Now, I'm going to
show you how everything interacts. I've
shown you why I marked them out as I
have. I showed you the filter, which was
the premium and discounts, but I'm going
to show you how it all fits together as
a narrative to build out traps and
understand the real objectives and
trends. Okay, this is where things start
to get a little bit more advanced, but
it's all going to make a lot of sense
when I show you how we build it
together. This is the difference between
getting lost on a multi-time frame
analysis and misunderstanding what the
trend could be versus understanding what
is trap, what is clear, what is trend,
what is trade. When you understand that
framework, it becomes so simple to trade
highquality opportunities because you'll
always be trading the trend. It's just
depending what the objectives are of the
trend. But you can even be in a bearish
trend, but that temporarily becomes the
trend. And therefore, even though it
looks counter trend, it's actually the
protrend scenario. And that's the
paradox. That's where people get
confused and don't take those trades or
take a lot of losses that were
avoidable. So, we know these two over
here, they are above the 50% mark. They
are in my premium. So, these are low
quality and they weren't my decisional
cuz it didn't break structure and it
wasn't my origination point. All of
these areas are only traps if the trend
has broken down. If we are still
bullish, they could still potentially
work. But when I see my signature, which
was this area makes a retracement, fails
to make a higher high, and then goes on
to make a lower low internally. Once I
see that signature, then I know
everything is a trap and therefore the
protrend now is bearish. So therefore,
these buy zones are traps because the
trend now has shown me it is bearish.
Even though overall I am bullish, for
now the short-term, the midterm is going
to be bearish until I arrive to one of
these objectives or the liquidity
objectives which I'm going to show you
in a second. So it becomes very clear
from what we mentioned earlier. I need
to find my signal to show me failure to
make a higher high makes an internal
lower low. Now I've seen two legs of
bearish. First leg, second leg, and I've
established the internal high and the
internal low. So I've got my internal
range. I've got the bearish signature. I
know now the market is in a bearish
trend temporarily until my objectives,
for example, here and here. Therefore,
all of these false points of interest
that were areas of demand. It's a higher
low that did make a higher high. These
are traps for me. Not only because it's
in premium above the 50% but also
because I've seen the sellers objectives
revealed and therefore I know price is
going to bounce from here most likely
but it's going to bounce temporarily.
These are known as smart money traps
where I'll see temporary bounces. Price
is going to show me bullish price
action. And what is that going to tell
most people? Most people are going to
see higher time frame is bullish because
of the 4hour 1 hour trend. Then they're
going to see a higher low to make a
higher high. They're going to see
bullish once again. So they're seeing
bullish higher time frame, bullish
internal and bullish point of interest
and then it rise to that zone and gives
bullish reaction. So what are people
seeing? They're seeing high time frame
trend, high time frame zone, higher time
frame reaction. If I seeing everything
is bullish and they're seeing this trend
line. They're seeing internal price
action, market structure. They're going
to be loading up on buys. But the
reality is this is all a trap. This is
all liquidity. And this is how we use it
to our advantage. When price comes into
this demand area, false demand area,
it's going to show me a bullish reaction
like this. I'm going to be start using
this as liquidity. So, I'm going to mark
it out with a purple dotted line and I'm
going to be waiting for price to come
into my premium. Once again, the same
thing from the high to the low. I wait
for my 50%, I draw a red box to tell me
where is my premium. And therefore, I
want price to come into this red box,
which is my premium of my internal
range. Internal high to internal low is
bearish. I need to come into premium
because I'm looking for sells. and I
need to meet an objective whether it's a
point of interest or liquidity in my
premium that's the two things once I've
got that which I'll show you later on
then this all becomes liquidity and the
flow becomes bearish to make a low in
the market what does that mean this zone
where the buyers got in all got trapped
stop loss here stop loss here stop loss
here those buyers got taken out then
people in this demand area also got
taken out so all of that became a trap
because the sellers are in control they
became the counterparts for that
position and that's exactly how you're
going to be looking for sell
opportunities in this new trend which is
counter trend until when you keep doing
this. You'll keep looking for premium
and you're waiting for point of
interest. You're waiting for liquidity
and you keep trading this trend lower
highs and lower lows until you meet the
new objective which is once again the
same formula. You do your 50% fib and
this time we're going to be looking for
buys. Why? Because the trend is bullish.
I need to wait for price to come into my
discount below the 50% of this overall
move on the 4 hour 1 hour package. When
I get into my green box, I need to wait
for a point of interest or liquidity for
all of these sell areas where people are
going to be seeing, oh, this is a supply
zone. They're going to be seeing all of
these supply zones say, okay, this is
where previous lower high made a lower
low, lower high made a lower low. All of
these areas people will be seeing as
sell zones for the same reason we saw
these areas as buy zones. It's a higher
low that made a higher high in a bullish
trend. For the same reason, people are
going to see bearish trend and they're
going to see lower high, lower low,
lower high, lower low. So therefore, all
these supply zones people are going to
be selling from because it looks like
the trend. These are actually going to
be traps now. So now we use these traps
as we've identified as checkpoints
because we know once price has arrived
to my discount, it's arrived to my
objective inside the green box. It's
arrived to this point of interest. Now
the trend is just like this trend over
here. It was a bullish trend in the
market to make a higher high. Okay, we
have now come to this objective which
was my decisional point of interest and
I'm going to start price to break not
only the internal ranges and all of
these trap areas is going to break the
external high and make a new higher high
on the higher time frame. This therefore
shows me all of these areas where we see
internal structure like we saw internal
structure come to this demand area give
a false bounce and then fail. Same thing
over here price is going to come to this
supply zone give a false bounce and
continue higher. it'll come to the next
supply zone where people think that's
the trend is going to give a false
bounce to get the sellers in and then
take them out. This is how you
constantly find yourself trading points
of interest, trading market structure,
trading the trend, thinking you got it
all figured out, seeing the reaction and
always getting it wrong. This repeated
feeling, this repeated frustration is
only there for one reason. It's not
because of market structure. It's not
because of points of interest. It's
because of context and misunderstanding
the objectives and trend. So when you
clear all of this up, you'll start to
understand how to trade counter trend
effectively because it's going to be
better than trading the trend
exclusively. So we have a lot of
drawings on the screen. Maybe it was a
little bit hard to follow. So I'm going
to show you on price action to help
clear it up. But remember, if you
download the episode companion the full
PDF that I prepared for you is going to
be taking it step by step with different
screenshots on the diagram with full
explanations, but also it's going to be
giving you the chart examples a lot more
easier to digest. If this was a little
bit fast for you, click the link in the
description, download the PDF, and you
should be able to understand it a lot
clearer. Okay, so I'm taking all of this
now. I'm going to break it down to a few
simple things. So, first step was the
4hour 1 hour package. I need to
understand new territory, new trend. We
did that. We found a bullish markets
because we saw higher highs forming from
that. The next step was to find external
high and external low. We did that. Then
we go to the next time frame and and
understand our internal trend M30, M15.
I focused on 15 and I needed my
signature which was failure to make a
higher high, make an internal low low.
Once I've done that, the next step was
internal high, internal low. Next step
done. Once I've done that, I need to
mark out all of the points of interest.
Each one of these higher lows that made
a higher high, higher lows that made a
higher high. And I need to focus on
which ones are my trap zones, which ones
are my quality zones. I did that by
first marking the Fibonacci 50% below my
50% good zones being my extreme and
decisional. So, I found my good ones.
Everything else was a trap. I did it in
purple and after I had my two leg
signature I did the same if the trend
continues bearish. So then we start to
speak about okay if we are in this
bearish signature now what is the
objective when do we keep selling? How
do we know when the sells are done? Well
we know when the cells are done when we
meet the objective. The objective is
going to be either my decisional or my
extreme or a liquidity event in discount
which means it could come and induce
this level. It could come into the point
of interest and induce it. Sweep it and
then go the other way. It could do this
on this area. Gives a trap, gives a
reaction, sweeps it and goes the other
way. Or it could come to the extreme.
Gives a trap, gives a reaction, and then
sweeps, goes the other way. I need to
wait for liquidity. If it doesn't happen
on these zones, so either we liquidate
the decisional or the false points of
interest or the extreme. If I don't
liquidate presence zones, it needs to
engineer liquidity. What is engineered
liquidity? Let me show you cuz this is
where it gets very interesting and
you'll find very high quality
opportunities. Engineered liquidity is
when you see something like this. Price
comes and makes lower highs and lower
lows. And what it does is it uses this
new low as liquidity. So it come in and
maybe it goes higher like this. So
people are going to be seeing bullish.
They're going to be seeing price action
switched. It made a lower high, lower
low, higher high. This is now engineered
a low. Price comes into that low and
then sweeps it and then goes. So it
doesn't need to come to my decisional.
It doesn't need to liquidate my
decisional. Doesn't need to come to my
trap zone. Doesn't need to liquidate. It
doesn't need to come to my extreme or
liquidate it. It needs to engineer a
zone and then liquidate that. These are
my objectives. You have points of
interest as objectives, the two that I
marked. Or you have liquidity as my
objectives. There can be two types.
Previous liquidity zones, for example,
this, this or this, or engineered
liquidity zones, for example, low of
previous day or M15 structural lows.
Engineered liquidity or present
liquidity as an objective or market
structure points of interest as an
objective. These are the only places
price can go to before I switch my bias
and say I'm no longer going to be
selling. I'm looking for buys. That step
is known as the efficiency of the
pullback. That means my complex
pullback, you know, the cell that I was
looking for where I'm seeing lower highs
and lower lows. I'm going to keep
selling the trend which is bearish of
lower highs and lower lows. That is my
trend. That is my friend for now until I
see the efficiency of the pullback which
is decisional or extreme or liquidity
event. Once those things have happened,
only one of them, once that has
happened, I'm going to be all in on
looking for buys because that's my
higher time frame trend on the higher
time frame that we spoke about because
of this high. I wait for my retracement
to my POI or liquidity event and then
look for buys as the trend. And
therefore, that's how you consider
protrend being bullish versus protrend
being bearish. Even though traditionally
it would be mixed, now you have clarity.
Okay, let's take all of this now and
present it on a real life case study, a
real life price action signature, not
something from months ago. The most
recent trade that I took that was
exactly like this. This is GBPUSD. The
most recent read. So, what I can see is
the trend analysis first. The trend
analysis is where is the new territory.
So, the new territory is we had a lower
high that made a lower low arrive to a
higher time frame demand area. Once it
arrived there, the new territory is we
broke structure. We went higher. So now
I've understood we have now completed an
objective which is we had a previous cap
in the market. We broke that cap and
made a new high. Made a higher low made
a higher high. That was my ultimate high
which started to break. Therefore I have
very easily identified my internal
range. The new territory remember step
number one was 4hour time frame new
territory. We found that. Then after
that you mark out your external high
your external low. The bottom part of it
is the external low where it began. The
highest point was the external high.
Very simple. That time frame is done
now. And then usually I'll go to the M15
M30 but on this time frame you can see
it very clearly on the 4 hour. So we can
just stay right here. What I next see is
price goes bearish. So we see a break of
structure first leg. Remember I was
looking for two things to happen. Price
to respect the high over here and we can
see even the details we had trend line
liquidity we induced and then we pushed
lower had a bit of a retracement for the
decisional and then made a low. So we
have now found one complete bearish leg
right here from high to low. Once I have
seen that first bearish leg, remember
this could just continue higher. It
could still continue bullish. But when I
see the signature that it needed, which
is price starts to climb higher, fails
to make a higher high and is on its way
to make a lower low like so. Then I
start to see, okay, we've got clear
objectives now. We're getting one, two,
I'm seeing bearish structure all the
way. So, let's mark it all out. We have
a previous higher low that made a higher
high. This is now failing to make a
higher high, making an internal lower
low. Failing to make a high, making an
internal lower low. So this is the first
signature right here. Fails to make a
high and goes on to make a low. Fails to
make a high, goes on to make a low. Then
we see it once again. It climbs higher,
fails to make a higher high, goes on to
make a new internal lower low. Remember
this is a previous structure point. We
broke it and made a low. Then once
again, it fails to make a higher high
over here. Goes on to make an internal
lower low. Why we got a break of
structure? So you can see it's very
connected and we can see all of these
breaks of structure. Break of structure
in trend number one. Break of structure
in trend number two. Break of structure
in trend number three. So I'm seeing
bearish bearish bearish until when?
Until I reach my objectives. How do I
find my objective? Well, here is very
clear. We only have one which is my
extreme point of interest. I've already
marked it out. That means I can be
looking for sells as the protrend
scenario where we have lower highs and
lower lows. and you keep selling and
selling and selling until you keep
seeing this formation until you arrive
to the objective which is over here.
Once you arrive to this objective, then
you're going to be expecting price to go
bullish. Use all of these as traps and
break the external high to make a new
bullish high based on the 4hour time
frame. So therefore, we have impulse
retracement continuation simple market
structure but you break down the
protrend scenario and then we know for
now our protrend is the sell until we
arrive to our objective. So that's now
the top down analysis done. So, with
that all being said, I can now drop down
to the M15 and focus on the one thing
only, which is my bearish impulse
because I know that's the only thing I
need to focus on where I've gone from
lower high to lower low. So, let's mark
it out. The previous one, this is a
higher low that made a higher high. So,
I've got a zone that led to a break of
structure. The first zone that is a
bearish break of structure, price comes
to the extreme, comes to a supply area,
gives a reaction, and goes on to make
bearish new lower low. So, therefore, I
know my internal range is very simple.
So, this is my previous internal high.
It is respected. It made a lower high.
And that lower high over here went on to
make a lower low. So therefore, my new
internal high becomes over here. And my
internal low is right down here because
this is the lowest part. So I've now got
a trading range and therefore this is my
internal high and internal low range.
And that's all I need to focus on. So
now I can ignore everything on the left
and I have a very clear read. The
protrend is bearish because I know my
objective is to come down to this blue
box, my demand area. So therefore I can
keep selling until I come to my blue
box. to the protrend. Now, even though
the higher time frame was bullish, it's
actually I'm looking for sells. It's
actually bearish because of this
formation I can see. Therefore, my focus
needs to come on either I come to a
point of interest or a liquidity event.
Remember that was the only step. I look
for sells in premium when I have a point
of interest or liquidity event. And
that's very simple now. So, what I need
to focus on is finding my premium from
my high to my low. I now wait for above
the 50%. So, anywhere inside of this red
box can be sells. How do I find
liquidity or I find a supply zone? This
is how I do it. So, right now I've done
it very clean, very simple, which is
just a 4hour supply zone. This last up
candle before bearish price action
became my 4hour extreme. Now, usually
I'd refine this down to M15. I do a lot
of elaborate reads for points of
interest confirmation. Remember, I have
a whole guide on it on this channel
where I spent a full hour breaking down
how to qualify a point of interest. For
now, I'm going to do a very simple just
for the sake of this case study, a
4-hour supply zone. From there, I'm
going to go back to my home, which is
M15. I'm just waiting for price to
either do a liquidity event or come to
my area, and this is where I turn my
personal indicator on where I want to be
seeing the daily cycles. So, now I've
got a full framework, and I have things
very clear. So, what is this trap zone
over here? Let's look left. Remember, we
are in a bearish counter trend. We are
making lower highs and lower lows. This
is my previous lower low. Remember, we
had this high to low, breaker structure,
the supply zones, bearish impulse. This
is a lower low. By definition, a lower
low is not a demand area. This is where
you expect it to be broken. It's an
internal range low. This is liquidity.
This is a target. This is where I expect
price to go. So, price hasn't broken
this yet. It's crept close, but it
hasn't broken. So, if it hasn't broken,
and we're getting a bullish reaction.
This is exactly what a trap is. Price
comes to a false zone. This is a lower
low, not a demand area. People see price
went up, so they're going to be thinking
bullish, but it's not a demand area.
Prices lower low, retracement, lower
low. a simple market structure trading
101. So therefore, if this area is not a
demand area, it's a lower low. This
cannot be a bullish trend line, it can
only be a trap. So what I'm waiting for
is this liquidity to make a trap, buyers
to be loading up over here thinking it's
a bullish scenario and I wait for my
point of interest or my liquidity event
and I look for sells. Why do I look for
sells? Because I've seen bearish. I've
seen bearish and I'm going to see once
again bearish from somewhere until I
come to my objective which is my demand
area down here. It's just a pullback. So
I'm looking for a sell opportunity in my
internal range using traps using points
of interest and using liquidity events.
And lastly using daily cycles. Therefore
I know my read and my target is to
respect this internal high and break
this internal low. So I know my overall
read is price needs to go lower sometime
somewhere. I don't know where from just
yet. And I know this is a trap because
it's just a lower low. Therefore, all of
this bullish higher highs and higher
lows is just a pullback to come into my
premium. And therefore, this all becomes
liquidity. And when I start to read it
on the day of it, now I'm focusing on
the details. I'm focusing on this right
here. So, this right here is not really
a nice point of interest. It doesn't
meet the criteria. So, I mark it out as
a trap. This is somewhere people are
going to be seeing supply zone and
they're going to be seeing a reaction
like such and they're going to be
loading up on sells. So, when I see this
reaction, I'm thinking even better.
People have seen supply zone and then
they're going to be seeing another
supply zone. Why? Because they have what
smart money traders love. They love
equal highs liquidity and then they wait
for that sweep right here. They've now
got an order block. They wait for this
fair value gap and this becomes now a
supply zone for a trader that trades
smart money. I know it's a smart money
trap. This is a real inducement, but
it's a facilitator. It's not a zone that
is going to be respected. It's a
facilitator because it objective was to
bring price lower, but it's not to be
held. So, this is now another smart
money trap. And what happens now? Look
at this. Smart money traders are going
to be loving this once again because
they're seeing more equal highs, more
liquidity, and they're seeing a sweep
now into this said zone. So, if they're
seeing smart money order block with fair
value gap, equal high swept coming into
that same zone, and now it's a New York
kill zone, this is where traders are
going to be getting in. What I need to
focus on is the other side. It's the
objectives. my objective has not been
met and I'm going to be seeing all of
these London lows and all of this trend
line from all of this liquidity. Notice
all of these touches trend line touch.
So we have touch number one, touch
number two, we keep going, touch number
three, touch number four, touch number
five, touch number six, and then it
eventually gets broken. So I know that
this area is a sweep. It's an
inducement. And it's to facilitate what?
is to facilitate price not only coming
to take these highs in my read is to
take all of these highs and come to my
objective which was my supply zone. So
if I now read this out I'm going to be
waiting for that liquidation and we see
it very clearly. Now we saw all of the
zones taken out in one clear move. So
now I've taken all of my objectives and
I can start to say now we have come to
my supply zone on the higher time frame.
We've met my real objective and we've
taken out trap over here and we've taken
out trap over here. Notice how even the
trap it builds a liquidity pool. It
sweeps it. It gives bearish hope. It
gives reactions and takes them out very
clearly. Trap manipulation. Smart money
trap time and time again. And you'll
start to think, okay, this is the real
zone then. No, this is also a smart
money trap because we have to understand
the flow of the market was this. It was
the engineered liquidity to then induce
and this became my real inducement. Now,
so if we zoom out, remember what I told
you. I need to either come to a point of
interest or take engineered liquidity.
So, we've had two things over here.
We've had high of previous day liquidity
pool and smart money signature, smart
money reaction. So we've got smart money
trap and high of previous day liquidity
pool. This is now my engineered
liquidity objective met. So I can say my
first objective was met because of all
of the liquidity plays of this
engineered liquidity of smart money trap
and high of previous state. We have now
achieved that objective. My other
objective was the 4hour supply zone. We
achieved that objective. So I know when
I achieve my two objectives I only
needed one either liquidity which is
previous liquidity or engineered
liquidity or supply zone. In this case I
have both which is why this is a very
nice setup. Then I know all of this
becomes trapped. This trend line becomes
a trap. This smart money zone becomes a
trap and I just need confirmations to
get in because I met my engineered
liquidity and I met my supply zone and I
know I'm with the trend which is lower
high to lower low retracement to my
objectives and make a new lower low all
the way down to my objective over here
from the higher time frame. So it
becomes very very simple now and all I
need to do is once I've had my
objectives is find a way to get in. So I
don't want to just jump into this. I
want confirmation. I have my key time
window. I have inducements uh very
clearly of the smart money trap and I
have point of interest. So I have
everything that I need. The last piece
of the puzzle is execution. So what do I
need to wait for? I need to wait for the
signature which is price does the first
thing. It's a pullback. When I see the
pullback I need to see failure to make a
higher high and make a lower low. This
is exactly what I was waiting for.
Remember how we spoke about it earlier?
We had the objective of price makes a
high, then it makes a pullback, fails to
make a higher high, goes on to make a
lower low. Two legs. So I see that once
again, it fails to make a higher high
and goes on to make a lower low. And
that's exactly what I wanted. Price came
over here, made a high, failed to make a
higher high, and made a internal lower
low. Just like so. So we have the high,
this is respected, fails to make a
higher high. And this previous low, this
part over here has now made a lower low.
We've broken it. So we have the green
tick. Once I have this signature, then I
just need to find a reason to get in.
This is where I can drop down to the one
minute time frame now and look for
confirmation because I've got one leg
bearish, two legs bearish. So, anywhere
inside of here, anywhere above this 50%
even would be ideal. And I just want to
see any form of confirmation and that
could be enough. That could be enough. I
just want to see price came in like so.
I could just need to see a M3 engulfing
after we hit my 50%. There can be many
ways to get in on the one minute time
frame. You can start to read the
structure. For example, we have high
higher high fails to make a lower low,
makes a higher high. Then respects fails
to make a higher high makes an internal
lower low. When we see that switch, we
have one leg, two leg, you could execute
right there. The lower time
confirmation, there's going to be many,
but that could be one example. Protects
the high. So you have a four pip stop
loss. That could be very simple. The
cleanest one or the easiest one, so you
don't need to get complicated, is just
wait for a 3minut engulfing. You wait
for the 3minut engulfing, which is going
to be a larger stop loss, and you cover
the high. I'm giving you worst case
scenarios cuz you didn't know how to do
the lower time frame. It doesn't matter.
We just waited for the cleanest things
which was price did a signature that we
needed which is failed to make a high
high make a lower low. We have now the
bearish leg. Come to the premium which
is just above the 50% and give a 3minut
engulfing. So meaning the last 3minut
candle is taken over by the next 3minut
candle and then you have your targets
one at 1 to three risk reward. So 1 to
three risk reward you take your first
partial break even can be on a shift. So
I'm going to show you like so once
you've seen a shift now let me show you
how to break even. This is a key part
because you want to protect yourself. So
the moment you've seen price shift in
your direction which means broken
structure. So broken structure means we
had impulse retracement. This is the low
now and then it continues. We've had a
shift in our direction. So that shift in
our direction is the break even spot. So
the moment price crosses that dotted
line this is where I'm going to be
breaking even my position meaning
risk-free. And then my partial is going
to be down here. So let's see if it
continues there. And there we get it. So
now I've locked in my 1 to3
risk-to-reward and I can zoom out and
say where am I in the bigger picture in
my bigger picture. I've already taken
out this smart money trap which was
highly expected and I've reached my 1
to3 target and it's probably even
continued a bit further. We're already
at 1 to4. And lastly just to zoom out
you can see very clear my objective was
I made a lower low and I want to go on
and make a new lower low. So I'm with
the trend which is my bearish trend. I
took a counter trend position but I just
understood how to make it my trend and
therefore already we are floating a very
nice high riskreward and these usually I
say hold 1 to three and 1 to 10 but if
you're still new to it just take a
profit I want 1 to three already
floating 1 to 7 you just lock in a 1 to
three that means three are positive
riskreward and because it's pro trend
you can allow it to play a little bit
further but remember in the link in the
description you'll have full explanation
all of the screenshots all of the
diagrams so you can execute on this
exact same setup which repeats time and
time again understanding how to trade
counter to trend. So you're not waiting
around weeks for protrend scenarios.
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