從黃金價格漲跌看當前投資交易策略 ft. DecodeEX首席策略分析師

Hello everyone, I'm Terry. I believe my viewers know that I am a believer in Bitcoin. I believe Bitcoin is a very unique and unique asset type in this era of inflation. When it comes to inflation, everyone thinks of gold. There are also many people who compare gold with Bitcoin. Because I am more familiar with gold. So today, I have the opportunity to talk to DecoGlobal's chief strategy analyst, Star Shen. Thank you for sponsoring this video.

大家都说这次黄金的这个涨幅趋势特别的强,那STAR的话以你的经验来看,跟以往有种不同。

In fact, from a historical perspective, the gold has experienced three major growths in history. The first one is from the 1970s of the last century, from 1970 to 1980. The second one is from the beginning of this century to about 2012, which has experienced a growth of about 10 to 12 years. The last one is the stage we are currently experiencing. In fact, although everyone thinks that the gold has increased a lot recently, this growth actually started in 2018.

We can compare the growth of this round with the previous one and see what are the differences between the growth of each round and the financial market.

For example, the first round of gold growth finally led to a collapse of the entire Bolton Forest System. The second round was actually because of the bubble of the Internet bubble and the confirmation of the 911 incident in the United States. The US market share has reached 6% at a time. At this time, the US Fed was forced to take a downward trend, causing the dollar index to drop by 30%. The dollar index fell and caused the rise of gold.

In 2004, although the United States controlled the market rate, the problem of inflation was caused by water release. So gold continued to rise at that time. In 2008, we all know that there was a very serious financial crisis. In the United States, it was actually caused by the crisis. At this time, the US Federal Reserve was forced to release water again and raised the gold again. So this round is a wave of gold that has gone through a 12-year wave from the beginning of 2000 to 2012.

So far, we are in the third wave of growth. In fact, it started in 2018. At that time, the market expected the United States to start a new round of currency relaxation. After the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020, the United States and the United Nations were forced to make a policy of large water release. From 2018 to now, we will find that the rate of income of US debt is constantly decreasing. But the price of gold has actually doubled from 2018 to now. In fact, it has doubled to more than 2400.

The recent rise in the price of gold has been due to the influence of geopolitics, the conflict between Palestine and Israel in the Gaza Strip, and the recent rise in the price of gold. So I think there are some major differences in the price of gold. The price of gold is usually different from what you just said, which is caused by many different factors.

through inflation, interest policy, and geopolitical risks. What do you think are the recent factors that have affected the price of gold in the past three months, in addition to geopolitical risks? In fact, many of us have a very intuitive feeling that where there is a war, where there are some political problems, gold will rise.

But in fact, I think it is more likely to be a stimulating factor or a factor of the fire line. There are some more fundamental reasons to support the rise of this round of gold. The first one is that we are all very clear about this inflation. We are in this Marx's Capitalism. He once said that currency is naturally gold and silver, but gold and silver are naturally not currency. What he meant was that when we human beings are fighting against this inflation, gold will be our first choice. A must-select asset

When the inflation rate rises, the price of gold rises. Why does it cause inflation? The value of the currency itself is falling. But the value of gold itself as a currency asset is still there. It is a hard-to-collect. After the global economy fell due to the COVID-19 epidemic, the central bank of all countries has been a policy of water. The phenomenon of currency overspending and depreciation has triggered inflation.

Another good example is that we can compare the inflation rate in the US history with the gold price trend. We can't see that the US CPI data and the gold price are in a fair relationship. So I think the first very important factor is the inflation rate.

The second point we need to talk about is that we are now in the future of a decline in the expectation of the United States and the United States. In fact, we still think that the US dollar and the gold are in a position of reserve assets. The relationship between the two is actually a kind of replacement effect. Because we don't actually have interest in saving gold. But when we buy U.S. bonds, there is actually an interest.

As the exchange rate of the US dollar fluctuates, for example, the exchange rate of the US dollar increases, my return will be higher when I buy the dollar. Naturally, the opportunity cost of investing in gold will be higher. At this time, it will be difficult for gold to rise.

As the basic interest rate decreases, the investment revenue of the dollar will also decrease. At this time, the opportunity cost of investing in gold will be lower, and it will push the rise of the gold price. As we all know, whether it is investment or the financial market, everyone runs according to a prediction. Although the fall policy of the US-China alliance has not yet fallen, I think this round of growth has already considered the future fall of the US-China alliance.

Yes, many countries or participants have been deployed by the future US Fed's policy. The last point is the influence of the global political fluctuation of the price of gold that we may feel more.

For example, on the 16th of last month, Israel announced that it would make a counterattack against Iran. After the news was announced, gold was originally in a round of recalls, and suddenly there was a sharp upturn. In fact, from the Russian-Ukrainian war to the conflict between China and the East, the price of gold has been rising. The central bank of all countries is also constantly increasing its reserves of gold.

For example, take China's bank balance. In February, it was 7,258 million ounces. In the end of March, it increased to 72740,000 a month. The Chinese government has been increasing its balance of gold for 17 consecutive months. Now, many individuals and companies are also buying and investing in gold.

So everyone is constantly promoting the rise in the demand for gold. In a global economic instability, gold is a must-have asset. Many companies or countries are already starting to increase their gold reserves. In the development of investment strategies, for example, I want to share my investment risk. How to consider the relationship between the gold price and other assets?

We know that the relationship between global asset types is relatively high. For example, if we invest in securities, we may think it is a risky investment. But if we invest in gold, we may think it is investing in a potential asset. But in the recent market trend, we can say that because of the fact that

the tail effect of the water-repellent policy. The market of the current securities market and the market of gold has been innovating in the past few years. In the future, we may be in a relatively low interest rate background after the fall of the US dollar. So I think the prices of various assets will continue to rise.

Of course, the risk we may face is that if this kind of economic bubble breaks out, it may bring a more disastrous blow to the market. So I personally think that from the perspective of investment, it will be a relatively long-term behavior. It's not that I need to get a refund in the short term after I invest.

Another thing is that we still have to make a selection of high-quality assets in this kind of asset. This way, we can guarantee our investment on a stable income in this round of unstable situation.

Many people say that encrypted currencies, digital currencies, and crypto are similar to the new asset category of the new generation. It even has a higher potential for development than gold. Many people even think that it is directly a competitor to gold. What do you think? How do you think this competitor will change the investor's investment group in this case? In fact, there is a very interesting phenomenon that everyone can observe recently. Bitcoin is also rising when gold is rising, right?

In fact, gold and digital currency have some similarities. For example, their supply is very limited and many people use them as legal alternatives. Of course, there are some differences between gold and digital currency. For example, gold itself is also a consumer product. As you just said, digital currency has been more and more attracted to investors in recent years and has been more and more accepted by the public.

For example, the recent issue of digital currency ETFs has been a constant manifestation of its influence in the entire financial market. Although its market share will be slightly lower than that of gold, I don't think it can fully expect the potential of gold in the short term.

we still want to put it in a risk asset such a scope. I think from the point of understanding the investment market or the risk of dispersing our assets, I think every investor should pay attention or understand the development of our digital currency's new financial market. Then take a look at your own investment risk bias. Is digital currency a part of your investment combination? From the current environment,

for example, 1-3 years or 3-5 years, what would you recommend to investors? Is there any special trading strategy? Because many of our viewers are ordinary investors or retail investors. I think the most important thing is that when you make every transaction, you must be very clear about where you are entering the market. Where is my biggest point of reference? Where is my biggest loss? Then you must strictly follow your own trading plan to carry out your own transactions.

Only after we control the risk, can we achieve a stable profit. Of course, I think what I just said is for many ordinary investors, it is very difficult to have such a systematic plan in this transaction. So my other suggestion is that I think everyone can try our Decode trading strategy. Because our strategy is based on the investment experience accumulated in the past 20 years of the group and the feedback of more than 500,000 users.

This strategy is considered technical indicators, such as the front height, resistance position, support position, shape breakthrough, trend direction, etc. It also combines our group's experience in the investment field for 20 years. Through the operating data we have compiled, in the past 20 years, our investment strategy has been almost 80% successful. In addition, this investment strategy also covers the investment of gold, and its win rate is also not much.

So, from May 20, we launched the event of the highest $10,000 user experience of the old user welcome new user on the platform. Then, we will open the transaction on our DecodeEX platform. If you follow our strategy to make an operation and transaction, the maximum expected seven-day return rate can reach up to 100%.

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I think for investors, growth is a path. I think in the first stage, when you first enter the market, you should do less and more. You should learn more about how others trade. In the second stage, you can try to make some transactions in a simulated trading environment. In this simulated trading environment, whether it's a K-line or a price, it's the same as real numbers.

After the trial of simulation trading, I think our investors can try to trade with small amounts of capital in the market. From there, they can experience the real fluctuation of profit and loss, and the impact and test of their trading mentality. Gradually, we can expand our investment and then slowly participate in the market.

Of course, the learning path and model I mentioned earlier, including the final 10-pan transaction, are often more time and effort. So now we have a new product that investors can try on the market, which is called follow-up transactions.

The basic concept of a trading order is that you choose the traders you think are reliable to copy their trading orders. From the form, it is a bit like our fund investment, which is to give money to others to help you make transactions. You only need to give a small part of this profit to the corresponding trader, and you can still keep it yourself.

the majority of the profits. Currently, DecodeEX also has similar products on the platform. And now, there are more than 50 professional traders on the platform. On our follow-up interface, you can see the actual time and place of each signal trader, the history of the transaction, the size of the fund, the history return rate, and the number of followers, and other key data.

Finally, I would like to add that when we are investing, we are most concerned about the financial security issue. Decode is currently in the leading position in the industry.

We received the corresponding license from the Australian Stock and Investment Commission, ASIC, the Vanuatu Financial Services Commission, VFFC, and many other authorities including the US Financial Crime Administration. So, every investment transaction will be strictly monitored and guaranteed. So, please feel free to use our platform and products. Finally, we welcome you to experience our Decode EX platform.

Alright, thanks Star. Okay. Lastly, if you are interested, you can try out DecodeEX. There are three stages of the experience. The first stage is from May 20th to May 28th, which is the time to get the experience. The next seven days, until June 4th, you can use the experience to experience their strategic trading. The next seven days, you can complete the task and receive the rewards. Thank you for your support in this video.

Finally, I need to clarify that any investment has risks. I don't use the DICO EX platform. Today's video is not an investment or opening suggestion. The purpose of the video is to help you understand the role of gold in the financial market so that you can adjust your own investment strategy under different red-light economies. See you next time.